Losing My Religion

Will the number of people who have ‘lost their religion’ peak above 15 million in 2021?

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Description

Bet Description

Betfair-Metaphysical.com lets you play the 2021 Census in England and Wales (E&W).  All bets relate to the ‘What is Your Religion?’ question on the census. A census happens every ten years and Census Day 2021 is Sunday March 21, 2021. The Census is run by the Office for National Statistics and is administered to 20 million households. More details can be found at https://census.gov.uk/.

As Michael Stype sang in the 1991 REM hit the West is losing its religion. Between 2001 and 2011 there was a massive increase in the number of people who affiliated with the categories ‘None’ or ‘No Religion’. Will the number of people who have ‘lost their religion’ peak above 15 million in 2021?

Decision Logic

This bet will be resolved upon publication by the Office for National Statistics or the British Religion in Numbers Department of the University of Manchester, of analysis which shows a comparison between these affiliations on a comparable basis such as the BRIN paper:

Religious Census 2011 – What happened to the Christians? (Part II) | British Religion in Numbers

In the event of any dispute or non-publication, Betfiar-Metaphysical will seek clarification from BRIN.

For the purposes of this bet the those classified as None/No Religion will be counted.