To Believe or Not to Believe

This is a bet that there will be a greater increase in those affiliating with Agnosticism than Atheism in the 2021 Census.

Back means you are betting that this will happen. Lay means you bet the opposite.
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In whole GBP (max 100). Betting is pari-mutuel. If you bet correctly you will get a proportionate share of the total amount bet.
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Bet Description

To believe or not to believe, that is the question. There are a variety of categories relevant to non-belief.  In previous censuses people have affiliated with the following categories: Agnostic, Atheist, Free Thinker, Humanist, Internationalist Rationalist, Realist and Secularist as well as the mother of all none belief’s ‘None/No Religion’.  The latter with over seven million affiliations is way out in the lead. The race between Atheism and Agnosticism is much closer. Will there be a greater increase in those affiliating with Agnosticism than Atheism in the 2021 Census.

Decision Logic lets you make money from gambling on religious beliefs using the the 2021 population Census for England and Wales (E&W).  All bets relate to the ‘What is Your Religion?’ question on the census. A census happens every ten years and Census Day 2021 is Sunday March 21, 2021. The Census is run by the Office for National Statistics and is administered to 20 million households. Betfair Metaphysical allows you to wager on the outcomes. More details can be found at See the explainer video tutorials for more information on metaphysical gambling.

This bet will be resolved upon publication by the Office for National Statistics of the detailed characteristics for the Religion question. Such as in the equivalent table for the  2011 Religious Populations 2011, Main Religions. Arbitration will be provided by the University of Manchester hosted British Religion in Numbers (BRIN) research programme.  BRIN is part of the British Academy, and has been providing cutting edge research into religion and society since 2008.