Handicapping, the way horse form is calculated in order to determine the additional weight for each horse to carry and thereby increase the ‘fairness’ of races, and ensure the fastest, strongest horses don’t win every time, is a technical area and one few people know about or understand. Understanding religion in numbers is, we are afraid, no different. The experts in horse racing are the British Horse Racing Authority (BHRA). In the census and religion the experts are British Religion in Numbers (BRIN).
BRIN is hosted at the University of Manchester and was originally (2008-10) made possible by the sponsorship of the Religion & Society Programme. Religion & Society was funded by two publicly-funded UK Research Councils: the Arts and Humanities Research Council and the Economic and Social Research Council. Since 2014, BRIN has been a designated British Academy Research Project.
Aside from official statistical releases by the Office for National Statstics, data and analysis published by BRIN are the only source of information that Betfair-Metaphysical will consider is deciding on the outcome of the census in terms of betting results.
BRIN have published a number of papers on the trends in religious affiliation between the last two censuses, and this analysis is your best guide to form for the 2021 census (in the absence of divine revelation). Of particular note are three papers:
The sources have been used extensively by Betfair Metaphysical to understand the market and identify potentially lucrative betting opportunities.
SO IF YOU ARE IN IT TO WIN, SEEK OUT BRIN.
If you want to dive deeper for yourself, there are 16 official data tables which relate to religion published by the ONS on their detailed tables portal:
Household composition by religion of Household Reference Person (HRP)
Ethnic Group by Religion
National identity by religion
Country of birth by religion by sex
Long-term health problem or disability by general health by religion by sex by age
Tenure by car or van availability by religion of Household Reference Person (HRP)
Dwelling type by type of central heating in household by occupancy rating (rooms) by religion of Household Reference Person (HRP)
Dwelling type by type of central heating in household by occupancy rating (bedrooms) by religion of Household Reference Person (HRP)
Communal establishment management and type by religion by sex
Highest level of qualification by religion by age
Economic activity by religion by sex by age
NS-SeC by religion by sex by age
Industry by religion by age
Occupation by religion by sex by age
Industry by religion by sex
In addition you can create your own analysis of form through the NOMIS (Official Labour Market Statistics website: